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Frontrunner - 6th September 2019

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WHEAT UK wheat prices bounce London wheat futures, together with French wheat futures, fell to new contract lows early this week under the weight of high yielding crops. However, the UK market subsequently enjoyed a £5 per tonne rally and moved higher by an unexpected wave of short covering. London futures were technically oversold and UK wheat was...
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Frontrunner - 30th August 2019

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WHEAT UK wheat harvest progress As the UK wheat harvest progressed rapidly this week and pushed through 80% complete, the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB) estimated production might breach 16 million tonnes, the highest since 2015. They report yields of 8.8 to 9 tonnes per hectare which is 6 to 8% above average. However, with f...
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Frontrunner - 23rd August 2019

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WHEAT Wheat prices continue to fall US, French and UK wheat futures fell further this week, with all markets hitting new contract lows. Following numerous spells of inclement weather in recent weeks hampering the wheat harvest, much of the UK has been more settled in recent days. This has allowed combining to progress rapidly and, fortunately, nota...
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Frontrunner - 16th August 2019

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WHEAT Heavy UK wheat crop weighs on prices London wheat futures fell to new contract lows this week as our market tried to find demand. Yields for most of the UK wheat crops harvested so far have been significantly higher than most expected, above the five year average, which points towards a sizeable exportable surplus. Recent sterling weakness ha...
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Market report - 14th August 2019

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​ Markets fall following USDA corn and wheat predictions Another USDA report has been and gone without providing any fodder for the bulls. Instead, the report shocked the market by increasing the US corn and wheat output and markets tumbled to lower limits by close of play on Monday. The biggest surprises were the acreage and yields for corn. The a...
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Frontrunner - 9th August 2019

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WHEAT A good start to harvest Dry weather for most of the week led to good harvest progress being made into quality wheat in the southern and eastern counties. However, this has now stalled as low pressure weather systems take charge for the weekend. Data is limited at this point but high yields are a significant feature so far in this season's cam...
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Removing straw: calculating the cost of replacing lost nutrients

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Last harvest, the prolonged hot weather greatly affected grass growth across the UK and caused a shortage of silage for many livestock farmers. To help meet demand, the majority of growers were baling their straw after harvest but, as explained in my blog at the time , this led to many questions about the impact on nutrient off take.  This yea...
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Frontrunner - 2nd August 2019

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WHEAT UK reliant on export bids This week's market movements clearly highlighted the importance of exports for supporting new crop wheat prices. Huge devaluation of the pound this week saw the currency trade at a two-year low against the US dollar and euro, pushing the UK towards export parity. The result of this meant futures and physical prices r...
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Midweek market report - 31st July 2019

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Harvest halted by poor weather as markets react to fluctuating currency With the UK wheat harvest underway, our domestic market this week has been dominated by sterling volatility and patchy weather. At the weekend, the new UK Prime Minister signalled the real possibility of a no-deal Brexit which rattled currency markets and caused sterling to dro...
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Frontrunner - 26th July 2019

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WHEAT Improving French wheat crop prospects Record breaking high temperatures during June were thought to have been damaging for wheat crops across Europe and some analysts have now cut their estimates accordingly. Leading European analysts, Strategie Grains, reported in July that they cut the 2019 EU-28 soft wheat harvest by 2.2 million tonnes to ...
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Self sampling at harvest will help you market grain in the year ahead

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Harvest is the stage of the farming calendar that poses the most risk for arable businesses. From keeping everyone safe on a busy farm to getting your crops into the store in the right condition; attention to detail is key. There's no doubt that the ease in which a grain sampler can turn up on farm during harvest, take a sample from your heap using...
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Frontrunner - 19th July 2019

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WHEAT ·          Harvestpressure caps prices The Northern Hemisphere wheat harvest is well underway withFrance now as far as 50% complete; poor demand remains a theme. As a result,European markets traded steadily lower as the week progressed, with LIFFENovember futures losing almost £1/t per day. The week beg...
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Give storage the same attention as yield in harvest conversations

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With combines already rolling in some areas, conversations across offices, farms, agricultural shows and pubs are ramping up about the yield potential of this year's crop. Harvest conversations between farmers, traders and others always interest me; watching the usual attempts to outdo each other is always an interesting sport. But as someone with ...
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Frontrunner - 12th July 2019

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WHEAT Expectations for a reduced Russian wheat crop gather momentum Upbeat crop estimates made earlier this year by many analysts estimated that the global wheat power-house, Russia would produce up to 85 million tonnes of wheat this coming harvest, adding bearish weight to markets. However, prolonged dry weather and heat during the spring and earl...
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Frontrunner - 5th July 2019

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WHEAT Market prices Markets have fallen considerably this week with most business concluded for old crop wheat. However, supplies continued to come forward, knocking farm gate prices by £4 to £6/t for old crop during the week. New crop markets are solely focussed on weather and with parts of the European harvest now underway, eyes will turn to the ...
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Frontrunner - 28th June 2019

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WHEAT US corn takes a back seat as markets are affected by EU heat wave Global grain markets have recently been underpinned by the disastrous US corn planting and there will remain an air of uncertainty until crops are harvested in the autumn. However, this week wheat markets were supported by factors closer to home as temperatures soared across we...
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Frontrunner - 21st June 2019

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WHEAT UK wheat trades lower Futures and physical prices lost around £5-£7 this week in the UK. For now, the rains have subsided and a warm, sunny weekend is forecast which is good news for developing wheat crops. Domestic consumers are fairly relaxed as crops with huge potential look set to yield well should the sunshine continue. The same is ...
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Frontrunner - 14th June 2019

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WHEAT USDA highlights US corn crop woes In their June World Supply and Demand Report published this week the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) highlighted the impact of the delayed US corn planting as farmers continued their battle against ongoing heavy rain. Due to the adverse weather conditions, US farmers are predicted to plant 3 mi...
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Midweek market report – 12th June 2019

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Of late, the primary wheat market driver has been the delayed US corn planting. Earlier this week, the trade patiently waited for two sets of data about the situation to help gain a steer on the next likely wheat price movements. The first of these data sets came on Monday evening in the form of the latest weekly US crop report. It put the drilled ...
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Frontrunner - 7th June 2019

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WHEAT UK wheat markets under pressure Old crop and new crop wheat values made some losses this week. For old crop, consumer cover is relatively high and this week's latest Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs (Defra) figures confirmed a sizeable 1.98 million tonne carryout which is 266,000 tonne higher than a year ago. The smaller h...
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