Important updates and advice regarding coronavirus (Covid-19)

Frontrunner - 1st November 2019

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Brexit uncertainty and winter drilling delays in the UK continue to add volatility to wheat markets. Last weekend's Brexit extension significantly widened the window for tariff-free exports to the EU, which was seen by some as a bullish flag. 

In addition to this, the persistent deluge of rainfall continues to delay the drilling campaign with progress varying from one location and land-type to the next, so farmer selling of 2019 and 2020 crop has naturally slowed. As a result, London futures traded to £148.55 midweek which, along with new crop futures, was their highest level since mid-August.  

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Frontrunner - 25th October 2019

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WHEAT Markets treading water Wheat markets have moved sideways this week, lacking any fresh news. They are supported by the strong EU and Black Sea export pace, as well as mixed fortunes for winter drilling. By the end of last week, this season's EU wheat exports had exceeded 8 million tonnes, compared to 5.7 million tonnes this time last year...
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Frontrunner - 18th October 2019

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WHEAT Adverse weather supports UK prices The Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB) published their first provisional UK wheat supply and demand estimates for the 2019/20 season this week. The balance sheet contains the first production estimate from the Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affair (DEFRA) – 16.283 million ton...
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Frontrunner - 11th October 2019

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WHEAT USDA dampens grain markets The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) published their October world supply and demand estimates on Thursday. Trader focus was on an expected cut in US corn yields given the delayed planting, plant maturity and harvest progress. However, the USDA actually increased yield albeit marginally on the previous...
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Frontrunner - 4th October 2019

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WHEAT Exports This week, UK wheat markets have continued to focus on export trade flows in the south and east coast ports, with the north and west seeing limited fresh consumer demand. The port pull remains strong, with lorry freight significantly under pressure as vessels continue to arrive for wheat (and barley) ahead of the potential Brext deadl...
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Frontrunner - 27th September 2019

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WHEAT Wheat prices continue to rise Demand for wheat supplies to UK ports saw prices rally to a near six-week high on Friday. This performance was matched by French wheat futures which were reacting to the fast EU export pace and a continued flow of tenders held by the world's major importers. Helped by continued euro weakness which hit a 28-month ...
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Frontrunner - 20th September 2019

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WHEAT Big crops get bigger? There is an old saying that 'big crops get bigger' and it seems that it is true. This week well respected analyst, Strategie Grains' September report increased the size of the 2019 EU-28 wheat crop again to 144.5 million tonnes. This is 1.6 million tonnes up on the estimate they made last month and a hefty 17.6 million t...
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Frontrunner - 13th September 2019

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WHEAT Latest USDA World Supply and Demand Report review The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) published their September World Supply and Demand estimates on Thursday; it came with minor changes from the previous report and therefore no surprises. There were small cuts in world production for both wheat and corn, but increases in carry-...
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Frontrunner - 6th September 2019

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WHEAT UK wheat prices bounce London wheat futures, together with French wheat futures, fell to new contract lows early this week under the weight of high yielding crops. However, the UK market subsequently enjoyed a £5 per tonne rally and moved higher by an unexpected wave of short covering. London futures were technically oversold and UK wheat was...
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Frontrunner - 30th August 2019

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WHEAT UK wheat harvest progress As the UK wheat harvest progressed rapidly this week and pushed through 80% complete, the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB) estimated production might breach 16 million tonnes, the highest since 2015. They report yields of 8.8 to 9 tonnes per hectare which is 6 to 8% above average. However, with f...
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Frontrunner - 23rd August 2019

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WHEAT Wheat prices continue to fall US, French and UK wheat futures fell further this week, with all markets hitting new contract lows. Following numerous spells of inclement weather in recent weeks hampering the wheat harvest, much of the UK has been more settled in recent days. This has allowed combining to progress rapidly and, fortunately, nota...
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Frontrunner - 16th August 2019

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WHEAT Heavy UK wheat crop weighs on prices London wheat futures fell to new contract lows this week as our market tried to find demand. Yields for most of the UK wheat crops harvested so far have been significantly higher than most expected, above the five year average, which points towards a sizeable exportable surplus. Recent sterling weakness ha...
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Frontrunner - 9th August 2019

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WHEAT A good start to harvest Dry weather for most of the week led to good harvest progress being made into quality wheat in the southern and eastern counties. However, this has now stalled as low pressure weather systems take charge for the weekend. Data is limited at this point but high yields are a significant feature so far in this season's cam...
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Removing straw: calculating the cost of replacing lost nutrients

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Last harvest, the prolonged hot weather greatly affected grass growth across the UK and caused a shortage of silage for many livestock farmers. To help meet demand, the majority of growers were baling their straw after harvest but, as explained in my blog at the time , this led to many questions about the impact on nutrient off take.  This yea...
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Frontrunner - 2nd August 2019

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WHEAT UK reliant on export bids This week's market movements clearly highlighted the importance of exports for supporting new crop wheat prices. Huge devaluation of the pound this week saw the currency trade at a two-year low against the US dollar and euro, pushing the UK towards export parity. The result of this meant futures and physical prices r...
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Frontrunner - 26th July 2019

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WHEAT Improving French wheat crop prospects Record breaking high temperatures during June were thought to have been damaging for wheat crops across Europe and some analysts have now cut their estimates accordingly. Leading European analysts, Strategie Grains, reported in July that they cut the 2019 EU-28 soft wheat harvest by 2.2 million tonnes to ...
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Self sampling at harvest will help you market grain in the year ahead

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Harvest is the stage of the farming calendar that poses the most risk for arable businesses. From keeping everyone safe on a busy farm to getting your crops into the store in the right condition; attention to detail is key. There's no doubt that the ease in which a grain sampler can turn up on farm during harvest, take a sample from your heap using...
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Frontrunner - 19th July 2019

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WHEAT ·          Harvestpressure caps prices The Northern Hemisphere wheat harvest is well underway withFrance now as far as 50% complete; poor demand remains a theme. As a result,European markets traded steadily lower as the week progressed, with LIFFENovember futures losing almost £1/t per day. The week beg...
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Give storage the same attention as yield in harvest conversations

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With combines already rolling in some areas, conversations across offices, farms, agricultural shows and pubs are ramping up about the yield potential of this year's crop. Harvest conversations between farmers, traders and others always interest me; watching the usual attempts to outdo each other is always an interesting sport. But as someone with ...
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Frontrunner - 12th July 2019

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WHEAT Expectations for a reduced Russian wheat crop gather momentum Upbeat crop estimates made earlier this year by many analysts estimated that the global wheat power-house, Russia would produce up to 85 million tonnes of wheat this coming harvest, adding bearish weight to markets. However, prolonged dry weather and heat during the spring and earl...
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